You are currently browsing the daily archive for April 21, 2010.

Almost a week on and we’re still in the grip of Cleggophilia.  The Tory voters are like a chocolate fondant with the soft centre moving to the right and the left.  (Today’s graphics are borrowed from Prodicus at left and the Spectator Coffee House blog at right.)

Our media outlets are cock-a-hoop over the possibility of a hung Parliament.  Nick Clegg is their darling of the hour and the ubiquitous Lord Mandelson told the BBC that a LibLab coalition can offer voters ‘change’.  That alone should make Tories thinking of defecting to Lib Dems to reconsider their vote.

The reality-television generation doesn’t really understand how the political system in the UK works.  They think that the popular vote wins all, so that if the Lib Dems win, Clegg becomes Prime Minister.  Yet, it will be Gordon Brown.  Electoral Calculus explains how the boundaries for the Parliamentary seats have been drawn and says:

Even after the Boundary Commisson changes, there seems to be a difference in the electoral geography for the two main parties. This is typified by the fact that if Labour and the Conservatives have equal support, then Labour still has a majority in Westminster, but the Conservatives need about a 10% lead to get a majority themselves. Some people call this a “bias”, but we will use the more neutral term of “gap”.

What holds true for the Conservatives is also true for Lib Dems.  So, we will have five more years of Gordon Brown and, if not, then, at the very least, a majority left-wing Parliament — unless, we actively canvass our families, friends and neighbours about just what they think Liberal Democrat policies are.

N.B.: If you have time only for a brief glance, please read emboldened and green highlights through to the end of the post — guaranteed worth your while!

When you have a chance over the next fortnight to talk with a floating voter, ask them these questions — in addition to raising yesterday’s Lib Dem talking points:

1/ Do they enjoy taking a holiday abroad?  Even with the ridiculous security procedures at airports, most people will say, ‘Of course.’  Tell them that Vince Cable — likely to be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer — wants to more than double airline tax.  Iain Dale writes:

Taking a family of four, the current short haul (0-2000 miles) tax of £88 would rise to £199.76. The same family flying long haul would see their tax rising from £400-440 to £908-998.80. That rise of 127.5% is quite nasty, but the rate rose last November so compared to last Summer, a family flying this year would face a 187.4% increase in tax if Vince Cable became Chancellor.

2/ Are they upset about the UK’s loss of sovereignty to Europe?  Would they want to ditch the pound for the euro?  With many Englishmen, that’s a Yes/No combination.  The FT reports (emphases mine):

Viewed from Brussels, the rise of Nick Clegg and his Liberal Democrats in Britain’s election campaign is a fantasy come true … Britain’s opinion polls are topped by a party whose leader spent five years working at the European Commission and another five years as a MEP in the European Parliament …

… for most eurozone countries, Britain will always be semi-detached from Europe until it adopts the euro.

Still, as Clegg rides high in the polls, Europe has a big beaming smile on its face – but it is doing its best to hide it, for fear that British voters spot it and punish Clegg accordingly.

3/ How do they feel about fat cat bankers and MPs?  Probably not too good.  Nick Clegg described his second house in his constituency of Sheffield as modest and pebble dashed.  And yet … Channel 4 reports that this house is in a neighbourhood where the houses sell for an enviable £325,000 to £420,000Have a look at Clegg’s Sheffield and London residences. And, perhaps you thought his father Sir Nicholas — or Pater, as they would say at Westminster School was retired, but not at all.  C4 reporter Cathy Newman says:

Nick Clegg vowed to get tough on the banks today, and called for a return to the “traditional” banking of his father’s day. But the Lib Dem leader’s father, now in his mid-70s, is actually still in banking.

Sir Nicholas Clegg is chairman of the United Trust Bank. The bank describes itself as one of the UK’s leading suppliers of funding for property developers based in the UK …

Sir Nick’s banking history also includes being director of one-time merchant bankers Hill Samuel Co Ltd, now a wholly owned subsidiary of Lloyds TSB’s Offshore Private Banking unit – given the Lib Dems’ stance on tax havens it is perhaps a relief for Clegg junior that his dad no longer works there.

Clegg senior was also co-chairman of Daiwa Europe Ltd; and chairman of Daiwa Europe Bank plc – where he worked with former chancellor and Tory heavyweight Ken Clarke.

Aside from chairmanships, he has also served as a director of the International Primary Markets Association, and a senior adviser to the Bank of England on banking supervision, where he was hired as a so-called grey panther to shake things up via his commercial sector background.

He was also a member of the supervisory board of Bank Insinger de Beaufort NV and a Director of Insinger de Beaufort Holdings.

It’s difficult to know just how “old fashioned” Nick Clegg Snr is in his banking approach, but it’s clear even his prudent approach has not spared his bank losses, although they do seem rather modest.

Conclusion — your friends probably aren’t in the same elite league as Lib Dems. They should think seriously about voting Conservative. More than likely, they’d want to keep some of their own wealth.

Of course, there is now a bit of astroturfing going on the Conservative supporters’ blogs by Lib DemsIf you’re a Tory reading them, don’t lose sight of the goal!  Same thing happened in 2008 — to a much nastier extent — in the US presidential election.  The astroturfers were out for blood.  Yes, it was orchestrated, and afterward they admitted it was only psy-ops.  This is how it worked (written in October 2008, a week prior to the election) as reported by someone who worked on this part of Barack Obama’s campaign:

The internal campaign idea is to twist, distort, humiliate and finally dispirit you …

We do this to stifle your motivation and to destroy your confidence … 

Sprinkle in mass vote confusion and it becomes bewildering. Most people lose patience and just give up on their support of a candidate and decide to just block out tv, news, websites, etc. This surprisingly has had a huge suppressing movement and vote turnout issues.

Next, we infiltrate all the blogs and all the youtube videos and overwhelm the voting, the comments, etc. All to continue this appearance of overwhelming world support.
People makes posts to the effect that the world has “gone mad”.  Thats the intention. To make you feel stressed and crazy and feel like the world is ending.
   

We have also had quite a hand in skewing many many polls, some we couldn’t control as much as we would have liked. But many we have spoiled over. Just enough to make RealClearPolitics look scary to a McCain supporter. It’s worked, although the goal was to appear 13-15 points ahead.

See, the results have been working. People tend to support a winner, go with the flow, become “sheeple”.
The polls are roughly 3-5 points in favor of Barack. That’s due to our inflation of the polls and pulling in the sheeple.
Our donors, are the same people who finance the MSM. Their interests are tied, Barack then tends to come across as Teflon. Nothing sticks.

And trust, there were meetings with Fox News. The goal was to blunt them as much as possible. Watch Bill O’Reilly he has become much more diplomatic and “fair and balanced” and soft. Its because he wants to retain the #1 spot on cable news and to do that he has to have access to the Obama campaign and we worked hard at stringing him a long and keeping him soft for an interview swap. It worked and now he is anticipating more access. So he is playing it still soft.

Our goal is to continue to make you lose your morale. We worked hard at persuasion and paying off and timing and playing the right political numbers to get key Republican endorsements to make it seem even more like it was over and the world was coming to an end for you all.
There is a huge staff of people working around the clock, watching every site, blogs, etc. We flood these sites. We have had a goal to overwhelm.
The truth is here. I could go on and on, but you get the picture.

  

So, there you have it — plain as day. 

Moral of the story: KEEP CALM AND CARRY ONKEEP YOUR EYE ON THE PRIZE!

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